Botswana’s Economic Outlook Now Negative, says S&P

Botswana's economy is heavily reliant on diamonds.

Botswana’s economic outlook has been downgraded from stable to negative by S&P Global Ratings (S&P) on account of low demand for diamonds.

It forecasts a steep rise in government debt unless there is a substantial increase in diamond prices or significant fiscal intervention.

Botswana’s economy is heavily reliant on diamonds. They account for around 80 per cent of its export earnings and a third of total budget revenues.

De Beers and the Botswana government finally reached agreement last month on the long-term mining and rough sales deals, but sales by their joint venture, Debswana, were down by 52 per cent for the first three quarters of 2024, and there a few signs of a sustained recovery in demand.

Despite downgrading its economic prospects, S&P left Botswana’s long-term foreign and domestic currency sovereign credit rating unchanged at BBB+ and its short-term rating at A-2.

“The negative outlook is on account of S&P’s expectation that weak global demand for diamonds and depressed prices will continue to suppress Botswana’s exports and fiscal position, therefore, delaying government’s fiscal consolidation agenda and the rebuilding of buffers,” said the Bank of Botswana in a statement.

It highlighted the fact that S&P said the newly-elected government’s commitment to reducing unemployment, diversifying the economy and increasing social support, while maintaining fiscal prudence, also had a positive impact to the ratings.

Source: IDEX

HB Antwerp to Cut Lucara’s 1,094 carat Rough Diamond

the Seriti diamond

The 1,094-carat Seriti diamond recovered last September from Lucara’s Karowe mine, in Botswana, is now in Belgium, where it will be cut by HB Antwerp as part of an ongoing partnership.

HB, founded in 2020, cut the 1,758-carat Sewelo diamond and the 549-carat Sethunya diamond – both of which were recovered at Karowe and both of which were bought by Louis Vuitton.

Exact prices were not disclosed, although Lucara did say last month that the Sethunya and the 1,080 carat Eva Star, sold for a combined $54m. HB gave no details of a buyer for the Seriti.

Seriti is the world’s sixth largest rough diamond, and the sixth +1,000-ct diamond recovered at Karowe.

HB says it will use “groundbreaking technology, traceability, and expertise to unlock the full brilliance of nature’s most exceptional creations”.

That includes its proprietary Hyperloupe technologies, designed specifically for large (up to 6,000 carats) and complex diamonds.

HB has a 10-year contract with Lucara to cut all its +10.8-cts stones. They account for around 70 per cent of the miner’s revenue.

Source: Idex

Botswana, De Beers sign overdue diamond deal

The Orapa diamond mine

Botswana’s government signed on Tuesday a long-delayed diamond mining and sales agreement with Anglo American unit De Beers, the world’s leading diamond producer by value.

As part of the deal, Botswana’s share of the diamonds produced by Debswana, a 50-50 joint venture between the country’s government and De Beers, will increase from 25% to 50%. Botswana will receive 10 billion pula ($712 million) in development funding, in line with a provisional 10-year arrangement reached in 2023.

The agreement, in negotiations since 2018, also extends the mining licenses for Debswana until 2054. Previously, the licenses were set to expire in 2029.

The signing of the contract had stalled under former President Mokgweetsi Masisi but was prioritized by President Duma Boko, who took office last October.

Botswana, the world’s largest producer of rough diamonds by value, depends on the sector for the bulk of its national revenue. President Boko, however, has voiced concerns that the industry is not generating enough employment opportunities.

While Debswana’s diamond production accounts for 80% of Botswana’s exports, the country has struggled to diversify beyond mining. Despite a relatively high annual per capita income of $7,820 — exceeding that of oil-rich Gabon and South Africa, the continent’s biggest economy—job creation remains limited.

The deal comes at a crucial time for De Beers, as its parent company, Anglo American, considers spinning out the diamond business through a sale or initial public offering. Analysts warn that weak global diamond prices could complicate such a move.

Botswana remains integral to De Beers’ operations, supplying 70% of its annual rough diamonds. The government also holds a 15% stake in De Beers, underscoring the long-standing strategic partnership between the two parties.

Source: Mining.com

Lucara hits annual diamond production record

The two most important diamonds recovered last year were the 2,488-carat Motswedi and the 1,094-carat Seriti diamonds, both unearthed at Karowe.

Canada’s Lucara Diamond achieved record-breaking production in 2024, highlighted by the recovery of two exceptional stones at its prolific Karowe mine in Botswana.

The miner increased its processed ore to 2.9 million tonnes last year, up from 2.8 million tonnes in 2023. It also set a new milestone with the recovery of 807 “specials”—diamonds larger than 10.8 carats—compared to 602 in the previous year. These accounted for 7.6% of the total recovered carats, up from 5.3% in 2023.

The two most important diamonds recovered last year were the 2,488-carat Motswedi and the 1,094-carat Seriti diamonds, both unearthed at Karowe.

Motswedi, found in August, is the largest diamond recovered in the last century. Its name means “water spring” in the local Setswana language, symbolizing underground water surfacing to bring life and vitality.

The Seriti stone, unearthed in September, translates to “aura” or “presence”, reflecting cultural identity and legacy.

Lucara’s discoveries have continued this year, with the recovery of a1,476-carat non-gem diamond in January.

Revenue jump
The company sold 399,215 carats in 2024, generating $203.9 million in revenue — an 18% increase from $172.4 million the previous year.

“Our world-class Karowe mine continues to set new benchmarks,” CEO William Lamb said in a news release. “The open-pit operations delivered yet another remarkable milestone with the recovery of our seventh 1,000+ carat diamond.”

Lamb also highlighted steady progress on Karowe’s underground expansion, with shaft sinking marking a major step forward. The project is expected to begin commercial production in early 2028.

Since it began operations, Karowe has yielded some of the world’s most remarkable diamonds, including the 1,758-carat Sewelô in 2019, the 1,109-carat Lesedi La Rona in 2015, and the 813-carat Constellation, also in 2015.

Karowe is also credited for having yielded Botswana’s largest fancy pink diamond to date, the Boitumelo.

The mine remains one of the world’s highest-margin diamond mines, producing an average of 300,000 high-value carats each year.

Source: Mining.com

Botswana Forecasts 2025 Diamond Recovery

Botswana Diamonds

Botswana’s government is forecasting a recovery in the diamond market later this year, and a consequent expansion of the country’s economy.

It shrank by 3.1 per cent in 2024, but according to vice president and finance minister Ndaba Gaolathe it is now expected to grow 3.3 per cent in 2025.

“This growth outlook is premised on recovery of the diamond industry, which is expected in the latter part of 2025, and continued positive sentiment in the non-diamond mining sectors,” he said yesterday (10 February) in his budget speech for 2025/26.

Diamonds account for around 80 per cent of Botswana’s export earnings and a third of total budget revenues.

De Beers and the Botswana government have finally reached agreement on the long-term mining and rough sales deals.

But their joint venture Debswana reported sales for the first three quarters of 2024 were down by 52 per cent.

In December, Gaolathe warned that Botswana’s economy could contract by 1.7 per cent during 2024 as a direct result of the diamond.
Slump.

But he predicted better times ahead, with an expected rebound in the diamond market driving overall growth in 2025.

Video grab shows finance minister Ndaba Gaolathe delivering his 2025/26 budget.

Source: IDEX

De Beers seals sales and mining contract with Botswana

De Beers, the world’s leading diamond producer by value

De Beers, the world’s leading diamond producer by value, has concluded negotiations with the Botswana government on a new sales agreement and the extension of mining licenses for their joint venture, Debswana, until 2054.

The finalized agreement, the Anglo American unit said on Monday, follows discussions aimed at setting a new framework for the sale of rough diamond production from Debswana, a 50:50 partnership between De Beers and Botswana. The deal also secures the renewal of Debswana’s mining licenses, which were previously set to expire in 2029.

“Until the execution of these new agreements, the terms of the existing agreements will continue to remain in effect,” the diamond producer said.

Currently, 75% of Debswana’s diamond output is sold to De Beers. In 2023, the two parties reached a provisional 10-year agreement under which Botswana’s share of production was set to gradually increase to 50%.

The accord also established that Botswana’s state-owned diamond trading company was expected to receive 30% of Debswana’s production.

The government would also secure 10 billion pula ($712 million) in development funding as part of the deal. However, the deal stalled under the leadership of former President Mokgweetsi Masisi.

In January, newly elected President Duma Boko announced that his administration had reached an agreement with De Beers. Botswana, the world’s largest producer of rough diamonds by value, depends on the industry for the majority of its national revenue.

This new agreement comes at a pivotal time for De Beers as parent company Anglo American plans to spin off the diamond business through either a sale or an initial public offering. Analysts have noted that current depressed diamond prices may complicate efforts to finalize such a transaction.

Botswana remains a cornerstone of De Beers’ operations, accounting for 70% of its annual rough diamond supply. The government also holds a 15% stake in De Beers, underscoring the importance of the long-standing partnership between the two parties.

Source: Mining.com

Botswana Diamonds uncovers new kimberlite targets using AI

Botswana Diamonds has analysed and evaluated nearly 400 000 km of airborne geophysical and other exploration data using AI techniques

Botswana Diamonds has analysed and evaluated nearly 400 000 km of airborne geophysical and other exploration data using AI techniques and powerful computing, which would otherwise have been too big for timely analysis by humans.

In particular, the company has identified seven significant kimberlite targets on existing licences that have not been reported before.

The AI programme has also revealed compelling polymetallic targets in areas that are currently unlicensed.

Work is ongoing on these new areas of interest which now focuses on four main deposit types and 11 subtypes. These deposit types include elements such as gold, copper, silver, nickel, zinc and platinum group metals.

Botswana Diamonds used UK-headquartered Planetary AI’s ‘Xplore’ mineral prospectivity platform to perform the detailed analysis.

Xplore Platform is software that enables targeting of any element based on a plethora of geological and topographic information.

Botswana Diamonds chairperson John Teeling comments that these discoveries, in a few short months, are a major step forward in mineral exploration. One anomaly is especially intriguing to the company and the AI programme has reinforced the company’s belief that more diamond mines will be discovered in Botswana.

The company currently operates three diamond mines in Botswana and it also holds assets in South Africa.

Source: Miningweekly

Lucara recovers sixth diamond larger than 1,000 carats at Karowe mine in Botswana

1,094 carat diamond from its Karowe mine in Botswana.

Canada’s Lucara Diamond has dug up a 1,094 carat diamond from its Karowe mine in Botswana.

This is the sixth diamond weighing more than 1,000 carats to be recovered at the mine, and it comes only weeks after the recovery of a 2,492 carat diamond the second-largest diamond ever recovered.

“This remarkable stone bears striking similarities to the 692 carat diamond announced in August 2023, which was polished by HB Antwerp and yielded polished diamonds that sold for in excess of $13 million,” the company said in a press release.

“This newly recovered 1,094 carat stone will also be polished by HB Antwerp, as part of the ongoing partnership between the two companies,” Lucara said.

The Karowe mine has produced several large diamonds in recent years, including the 1,758-carat Sewelô in 2019, the 1,109 carat Lesedi La Rona in 2015, and the 813 carat Constellation, also in 2015. The mine is also credited for having yielded Botswana’s largest fancy pink diamond to date, the Boitumelo.

Botswana is the world’s largest producer of diamonds, and the trade has transformed it into a middle-income nation.

Karowe remains one of the highest margin diamond mines in the world, producing an average of 300,000 high value carats each year.

Shares of Lucara rose 8% by 11:40 a.m EDT in Toronto. The miner has a market capitalization of C$221 million ($162 million).

Source: mining.com

Botswana aims to negotiate bigger stake in HB Antwerp diamond dealer

Botswana is the world's biggest diamond producer by value

Botswana intends to renegotiate its proposed purchase of a stake in Belgian gem dealer HB Antwerp to double the size of its shareholding at no extra cost following the downturn in the diamond market, the country’s mines minister said on Tuesday.

Botswana is the world’s biggest diamond producer by value, meaning its economy has been disproportionately hit by a drop in demand for diamonds caused by a global economic slowdown.

Lefoko Moagi told Parliament the weaker diamond market had also affected the company’s valuation, giving the country room to renegotiate.

“We will not be injecting more capital, but we will get more shares for the same amount proposed in 2023,” Moagi said. “Instead of the 24%, we will negotiate to get 49.9% for the same amount initially proposed.”

Finance ministry budget documents showed in February that the country had set aside 890 million pula ($65.95 million) for the 24% stake, valuing the Belgian company at about $275-million.

The HB Antwerp deal was announced during Botswana’s negotiations for a new sales contract with Anglo American’s diamond unit De Beers in March 2023.

As Botswana sought to increase its power to market its stones outside a decades-old agreement with De Beers, it said the HB Antwerp deal would strengthen its presence in the downstream diamond industry.

It includes supplying the trader with rough diamonds for five years through the state-owned Okavango Diamond Company (ODC).

Source: miningweekly

Botswana’s diamond market suffers major blow as sales drop by 49% in first half of 2024

Anglo American cut its diamond production by 19% in the first six months of the year.

According to Botswana’s central bank data, sales of rough diamonds at Debswana Diamond Company fell by 49.2%, amounting to $1.29 billion compared to $2.54 billion in the same period last year.

In local currency, sales of rough diamonds decreased by 47.3% to 17.555 billion pula compared to the same period last year.

This decline in sales is a major blow to the South African nation, which derives 30%-40% of its revenue, 75% of its foreign exchange earnings, and a third of its national output from sales of rough diamonds.

The report highlighted the downturn in the global diamond market as the primary reason for this sharp decline.

In response to the weak consumer demand, Anglo American cut its diamond production by 19% in the first six months of the year.

The report highlighted the downturn in the global diamond market as the primary reason for this sharp decline.

Botswana derives 30%-40% of its revenue, 75% of its foreign exchange earnings, and a third of its national output from sales of rough diamonds.

The Debswana Diamond Company is a joint venture between the government of Botswana and Anglo American Plc’s De Beers. Anglo American Plc’s De Beers sells 75% of its output to De Beers, while the balance is taken up by the state-owned Okavango Diamond Company.

Despite the current economic challenges, Botswana and De Beers signed a ten-year diamond sales agreement in June.

This deal will gradually see the share of Debswana’s output sold by the state-owned company increase from 25% to 30% before it goes up to 40% in five years and eventually 50% by the end of the new contract.

According to the key points in the agreement, this strategic move aims to boost Botswana’s revenue from its diamond resources.

Source: africa.businessinsider