Namibia’s diamond industry may be pushed into deeper crisis if United States (US) president Donald Trump pushes ahead with implementing an export tariff of 21% on Namibia.
The governor of the Bank of Namibia has warned that US tariffs on diamonds – which account for 29 per cent of the country’s exports – could push the country into a deeper crisis.
It is already suffering the worst drought in over a century, compounded by the slump in diamond demand and other economic hardships, spiralling unemployment and a malaria outbreak.
“The diamond is already going through a difficult time because of low demand, and competition from lab-grown diamonds, and now you have all these tariffs,” said governor Johannes !Gawaxab*.
Namibia currently enjoys duty-free exports to the US on diamonds and most other products, but President Donald Trump announced a 21 per cent export tariff for the country in his 2 April “Liberation Day” speech.
He subsequently said there would be a 90-day pause before reciprocal tariffs on a whole list of countries were implemented.
Namibia is world’s eighth biggest diamond producer by carat, and the sixth by value, primarily from marine diamonds. Last year 12.4 per cent of its polished diamonds were sold to the US.
*The exclamation mark represents a click sound in Khoekhoegowab, an official language of Namibia.
De Beers increased prices of goods above 2 carats at this week’s sight as shortages of rough coincided with strong polished demand.
Prices rose around 5%, and more in some categories, market insiders told Rapaport News on Monday. Near-gem items also saw significant increases, while prices for other stones under 2 carats were either stable or slightly up.
“They seem to have picked areas where they’ve seen room [for price growth], and they’ve just hiked the prices up,” a source in the rough sector said on condition of anonymity. “For the time being, the market is absorbing it.”
Rough trading has been strong in recent weeks because of reduced supply from the large miners and solid polished sales. The RapNet Diamond Index (RAPI™) for 1-carat diamonds has risen 2.5% since May 1.
Rough above 1 carat has been especially sought-after, with premiums on the secondary market rising while manufacturers look to fill inventory gaps. A backlog of grading submissions at the Gemological Institute of America (GIA) has exacerbated the situation.
The June sight value will be similar to last month’s $380 million as customers snap up the limited goods available at the sale, sources said. Proceeds were higher earlier in the year — peaking at $663 million in January — when manufacturers restocked after the holidays and De Beers had larger volumes available to sell.
“There’s a shortfall in goods,” an executive at an Indian sightholder said Monday. “They’re not able to serve everyone what they’re entitled to.”
Rough demand slumped during the 2020 coronavirus crisis as the global supply chain froze. De Beers chose to maintain prices until August, when it offered deep discounts to encourage sightholders to resume buying. It has since reversed those cuts, gradually bringing prices to above pre-pandemic levels in many categories.
The sight began on Monday and runs until Friday. De Beers was not available for comment at press time.
De Beers jewelry subsidiary Forevermark has promoted chief operating officer Nancy Liu to CEO, as Stephen Lussier steps back.
She will take over the day-to-day running of the brand, allowing Lussier, who has been CEO since 2009, to increase his focus on shaping De Beers’ strategy at the consumer level, the company said last week. He will also continue in his position as Forevermark chairman, and will oversee its strategic role within the De Beers portfolio.
Liu joined Forevermark in 2008 as president of its Asia Pacific region. She was previously employed by L’Oréal, Louis Vuitton and the Boston Consulting Group.
“ Liu is an outstanding candidate to take over as CEO of Forevermark,” said Lussier. “As the brand sees rapid growth in Asia, Nancy’s exceptional expertise and knowledge of the region provides us with excellent continuity.”
De Beers appointed Liu to its executive committee in 2017.