India

Global Diamond Market Turmoil: Botswana Declares Health Emergency, India Faces Tariff Shock, Zimbabwe Strengthens Ties with India

The volatility in the global diamond industry is beginning to have severe humanitarian and economic consequences across producer and manufacturing nations. Recent developments highlight the fragility of economies that rely heavily on diamonds, and the urgent need for market stability.

Botswana: Diamond Slump Triggers Public Health Emergency

Botswana, the world’s leading diamond producer by value, has declared a public health emergency after revenues from diamond sales halved in 2024. Production is expected to fall by at least 25 per cent this year, leaving the government with severe financial shortfalls.

Earlier today (25 August), President Duma Boko announced the emergency, citing a critical shortage of essential medicines. To address the crisis, 5 billion pula (USD 348m) has been reallocated from other government funds, while the state-owned Botswana Development Corporation has pledged 100 million pula (USD 7.3m). The president has also appealed to pension and insurance funds for support.

The military has been mobilised to distribute urgently needed medical supplies to rural areas. The Ministry of Health has identified shortages in medicines for hypertension, cancers, diabetes, asthma, eye conditions, tuberculosis, sexual and reproductive health, and mental health.

Although President Boko has referred to “market challenges” in official statements, local and international media have directly linked the crisis to collapsing diamond revenues, underlining the nation’s heavy dependence on the industry.

India: Tariffs Threaten 150,000 Diamond Jobs

In India, which processes the vast majority of the world’s diamonds, the industry faces a fresh crisis as the United States prepares to double tariffs on polished stones from 25 per cent to 50 per cent on 27 August.

The Diamond Workers Union Gujarat (DWUG), which represents a large section of Surat’s workforce, has warned Prime Minister Narendra Modi that the tariff hike could wipe out 150,000 to 200,000 jobs – nearly a fifth of India’s diamond workforce.

DWUG is urging the government to revive the Ratnadeep Scheme, originally introduced in 2008–09 during the global financial crisis. The scheme provided retraining opportunities and a daily stipend for unemployed diamond workers.

The union has also raised alarm over rising distress among workers, noting that at least 80 unemployed diamantaires have taken their lives in the last two years.

Zimbabwe: Building Closer Trade Links with India

While Botswana and India face mounting pressures, Zimbabwe is positioning itself to deepen diamond trade relations with India.

Vice President Constantino Chiwenga recently visited Surat to explore direct trade agreements that would bypass intermediaries. He also invited Indian investors to consider joint ventures in Zimbabwe’s mineral processing and industrial sectors.

With US tariffs on Zimbabwean diamonds set at 15 per cent – compared to India’s new 50 per cent rate – Zimbabwe sees an opportunity to attract Indian buyers and investors.

During the visit, Chiwenga met with leaders of Hari Krishna Exports to discuss partnerships aimed at moving Zimbabwe further up the value chain, from rough exports to local cutting, polishing, and manufacturing. Such developments could create significant employment opportunities, build local expertise, and reduce poverty in diamond-producing communities.

The Bigger Picture

These three stories highlight the immense global impact of diamond market fluctuations. For producer nations like Botswana and Zimbabwe, as well as manufacturing hubs like India, the stakes are not merely financial – they are deeply social and humanitarian.

The current instability underscores the importance of transparent, sustainable, and diversified diamond economies, alongside stronger international collaboration, to secure both industry resilience and the livelihoods of millions who depend on it.

India’s Polished Exports Rise in Rush to Beat US Tariffs

India’s gross monthly exports of polished diamonds jumped 17.8 per cent in July, as manufacturers rushed to get their goods into the US before the 50 per cent tariffs took effect.

It was the first year-on-year increase since last October, when the markets showed some small signs of a possible recovery. Since then exports have declined every month.

Foreign sales were $1.07bn, according to the latest data from the Gems and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC), following on from India suffered a 23 per cent dip in June, with total exports of $779m.

US tariffs on Indian exports were first announced in April, but didn’t take effect until August. The initial 25 per cent tariff was imposed on 7 August, prompting a rush to export, and an additional 25 per cent tariff – what President Donald Trump describes as a punishment for India buying Russian oil – comes in on 27 August. This could lead to another monthly increase in August, as manufacturers try to beat the next tariff deadline.

Meanwhile, imports of rough diamonds for April to July grew slightly, up 1.5 per cent to $4.37bn.

Overall gross exports of gems and jewelry also rose on tariff worries, up 17 per cent to $2.18bn.

Kirit Bhansali, GJEPC chairman, said: “The July export figures, a successful IIJS Premiere with strong order bookings, and the revival of the Hong Kong market are encouraging signs for our industry, especially amid global challenges such as the impact of US tariffs.”

Source: IDEX

Trump Imposes 25% Tariff, Plus “Penalty” on India Exports

*President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi*

India’s diamond industry today (30 July) had its worst fears confirmed as the US announced all imports would be subject to 25 per cent tariffs, effective as of Friday (1 August).

In addition it will face an unspecified extra penalty for buying military equipment, oil and other goods from Russia.

Lingering hopes of a last-minute deal to avoid the additional tariffs were crushed when President Donald Trump singled out India, the world’s biggest diamond manufacturer, for special mention on his Truth Social platform.

“While India is our friend, we have, over the years, done relatively little business with them because their Tariffs are far too high, among the highest in the World, and they have the most strenuous and obnoxious non-monetary Trade Barriers of any Country,” he wrote.

Kirit Bhansali, chairman of the India’s Gem and Jewelry Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) reacted to the news saying: “This is a deeply concerning development. The Indian gem and jewellery sector, in particular, stands to be severely impacted.

“The United States is our single largest market, accounting for over $10 billion in exports – nearly 30% of our industry’s total global trade.

“A blanket tariff of this magnitude will place immense pressure on every part of the value chain.”

Colin Shah, managing director of diamond jewelry manufacturer Kama Jewelry, reacted to today’s news, said: “With the US being one of the key export destinations, this will severely impact the sectors like gems and jewellery that are heavily dependent on exports.

“Going ahead, we expect trade activities to remain muted with U.S. However, we also need to wait and watch how the situation unfolds.”

Less than two weeks ago, Trump said the US and India were “very close” to reaching an interim agreement, but those talks stalled, primarily over agricultural and dairy goods.

And only days ago US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer told reporters: “We continue to speak with our Indian counterparts. We’ve always had very constructive discussions with them.”

Source: IDEX

Surat Trade Show Moves to Smaller Venue

The Carats 2025 trade show is switching to a smaller venue amid the ongoing diamond industry downturn.

The three-day B2B event, organized by the Surat Diamond Association (SDA), will take place at Avadh Utopia lifestyle club and hotel, in Surat, rather than the 1.5m sq ft Surat International Exhibition and Convention Centre (SIECC) where it has been held previously.

Only 73 exhibitors have registered for the event, which opens on 11 July, according to Times of India, compared to 118 last year.

Organizers said the move was in response to participants’ preferences, rather than lower exhibitor numbers. Many diamond manufacturers expressed a preference for a venue with hotel facilities.

SDA says in an Instagram post that it’s expecting over 7,000 visitors and over 200 buyers. In 2024 it reported 10,000 visitors.

“This milestone attendance underscores the exhibition’s position as a leading platform for showcasing innovation and excellence in diamond industry,” said SDA Jagdishbhai Khunt at the time.

Source: Idex

India’s Polished Diamonds Export Down 17%

India’s polished exports fell by almost 17 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 2025, to $13.29bn, according to the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC).

That’s among the lowest annual export figures for two decades, although not, as widely reported, the lowest of all. The GJEPC figure for 2005 was $12.3bn, up from $10.3bn in 2004. By comparison 2023/4 foreign sales totaled $15.97m.

Overall gem and jewellery exports fell 11.7 per cent in 2024/5 to $28.5bn, the lowest figure in four years.

But there are signs of a recovery, with polished diamond exports for March showing a year-on-year decline of just 0.76 per cent to $1.16bn and gems and jewelry actually growing 1 per cent to $2.58bn.

“The decline in gems and jewellery exports is mainly due to the continuous dip in demand in China as well as the US, India’s key export markets, due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions,” said GJEPC Chairman Kirit Bhansali.

“Also, the correction in rough diamond prices by 10-15 per cent impacted the value, causing the overall decline in exports.”

Source: IDEX

Bombshell: Trump’s 26% Tariffs on Indian Exports

India’s diamond industry is in shock today after the US imposed 26 per cent reciprocal tariffs on all its exports.

That’s almost double the 13.3 per cent predicted by India’s Global Trade Research Initiative before yesterday’s news (2 April).

Traders, manufacturers, exporters and others in India’s diamond industry are still struggling to process the scale of the announcement, made by President Donald Trump in what he called his Liberation Day speech, outlining tariffs that would boost domestic industry and “make America wealthy again”.

He said US tariffs would be roughly half those charged by each of its trade partners. India charges the US 52 per cent, he said, a figure that includes currency manipulation.

“The [gems and jewellery] trade is expected to come at a standstill as US importers will assess whether to place orders with Indian jewellery exporters,” said Kirit Bhansali, chairman of the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council, reacting to the news.

“The tariff is higher than expected,” Colin Shah, managing director of Kama Jewelry. “It is quite severe and will affect exports.”

The US represents over 30 per cent of all India’s gem and jewelry exports, worth $10bn a year. Exports of loose diamonds to the US which currently attract no import duty – and gold jewelry, which is charged at 5.5 per cent to 7 per cent. The US has a trade deficit of $46bn with India.

Trump announced a raft of tariffs on trade partners around the world, claiming the US had been losing out for decades.

“They (India) are charging us 52 per cent and we charge almost nothing for years and years and decades,” said Trump during his announcement.

For decades, the president said, the US “has been looted, pillaged, raped and plundered by nations near and far, both friend and foe alike”.

The White House said India imposed “uniquely burdensome” non-tariff barriers. Removing them would increase US exports by at least $5.3bn annually.

The US announced a baseline tariff of 10 per cent on all countries (except Canada and Mexico), to be implemented on 5 April. Additional tariffs (as high as 49 per cent for Cambodia) will be introduced on 9 April for targeted countries.

Source: IDEX

China’s Diamond Market Rebound Sparks Optimism for Indian Exports

The Chinese diamond market, second only to the US, is showing early signs of recovery, sparking optimism in India’s diamond industry. According to the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC), this shift could reshape the global diamond manufacturing landscape.

China’s economic slowdown and declining marriage rates had severely impacted its diamond market, valued at approximately USD 9 billion. In 2023, diamond sales in China generated around USD 5.7 billion, but analysts project growth to USD 7.2 billion by 2030. Over the past two years, demand has dropped by as much as 50%, with wholesale diamond prices falling 40%. This downturn significantly affected India, which exports nearly a third of its cut and polished diamonds to China.

The impact was evident in India’s February 2024 gems and jewellery exports, which declined by 23.49% to USD 2.42 billion (Rs 21,085 crore), driven by weak demand from both the US and China. To counter this, GJEPC participated in the Hong Kong International Diamond, Gem & Pearl Show (DGP) earlier this month, showcasing 71 exhibitors across 116 booths in categories such as Loose Diamonds, Lab-Grown Diamonds, and Fine Jewellery.

Hong Kong, a key hub for India’s diamond trade, played a vital role in strengthening global ties. GJEPC Chairman Kirit Bhansali noted that stabilising prices and renewed Chinese demand are promising signs for the global diamond industry. He emphasized that India’s strong manufacturing capabilities and adaptability put it in a favorable position for long-term growth.

After a prolonged slump, buyers are now accepting current price levels, leading to steadier sales. GJEPC Vice Chairman Shaunak Parikh believes this renewed demand could shift India’s diamond manufacturing back towards natural diamonds. Industry insights indicate a resurgence, particularly in smaller diamonds, though a full-scale revival is still some way off.

According to Ajesh Mehta, Convener of the Diamond Panel at GJEPC, this year’s Hong Kong trade shows marked the first positive development in four to five years. While Chinese demand hasn’t returned to previous highs, price stabilisation and increased movement in smaller diamonds are encouraging. “Confidence is slowly returning, especially in diamonds below 10 points and dossier sizes,” Mehta said.

A shift in Chinese consumer preferences is also influencing the market. Retailers are now incorporating smaller diamond accents in gold jewellery instead of featuring diamonds as centrepieces. However, Mehta believes this trend is temporary, predicting a gradual return of confidence in larger stones, such as 30 to 50 points.

Beyond China, emerging markets like Cambodia, Vietnam, Brazil, and Venezuela are showing growing interest in larger stones. While they cannot replace China’s dominance, they are contributing to new demand pockets.

Devansh Shah, Partner at Venus Jewel, observed an increase in inquiries at the Hong Kong trade shows from diverse markets, including Europe, Australia, the US, and the UAE. He noted that Chinese and Far East buyers remain highly quality-conscious, with round brilliant diamonds attracting strong interest, while larger fancy cuts and 3-carat-plus rounds were available on an order-only basis.

Although the Chinese market’s resurgence remains gradual, it presents growth opportunities for India’s diamond cutting, polishing, and export sectors. With strategic planning and market adaptability, India is well-positioned to navigate this evolving landscape and sustain long-term industry growth.

De Beers sees India as a bright spot, notes early recovery signs in US

De Beers sees India as a diamond bright spot

India has been emerging as a bright spot for the cut and polished diamonds amidst a slowdown in key markets such as the US and China, Amit Pratihari, managing director, De Beers India told Reuters on Wednesday.

India is the world’s largest centre for cutting and polishing diamonds, accounting for nine out of 10 diamonds polished globally, according to Indian government data.

However, the country’s cut and polished diamond exports fell this year because of weak demand from China and the US, forcing the industry to focus on the growing domestic market that surpassed China last year to become the world’s second-largest.

“China has completely slowed down in the luxury segment … We see India growing very strongly,” Pratihari said in an interview.

De Beers, a unit of Anglo American, is the world’s top diamond producer by value and India’s number one supplier of rough diamonds.

However, there were some early signs of recovery in the US and “big growth” in the Middle East, Pratihari said.

“In next couple of months, we expect recovery,” he said.

Weak exports demand for polished diamonds forced Indian processors to trim imports of rough diamonds by 22% to $7.9 billion during April to December, according to India’s Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC).

De Beers is adjusting prices of rough diamonds to support the midstream industry – companies that buy rough diamonds from miners and sell them after cutting and polishing to retailers – in the face of polished diamond prices falling more than those of rough diamonds, he said.

“Miners are controlling the supply so more rough does not come into the market that would put additional pressure on the polished prices. But the pressure on polished prices is in midstream as in retail there is no change,” he said.

India’s cut and polished diamond exports fell by 8.3% to $9.76 billion in April-December compared with the 2023 period, according to GJEPC.

Source: Mining.com

India’s Government Urged to Adopt Lab Grown Rules

India’s government is being urged to adopt the same rules on lab grown terminology as the US.

The GJEPC (Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council) says its 7,000-plus members are now required to adhere to the rules introduced by the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) in 2016 and amended two years later. They have also been adopted by many other countries.

“Since India’s gem and jewellery trade has unanimously accepted the FTC’s new definition with respect to diamonds, we urge the Indian government and ministries to accept, adopt and adapt the same to existing consumer laws of our country.”

The FTC provides detailed guidance on exactly what forms of words can be used. It says: “If you sell laboratory-created diamonds, you should tell consumers that they are not mined diamonds by describing them as “laboratory-grown,” “laboratory-created,” “[manufacturer name]-created,” or some other word or phrase of like meaning so as to disclose, immediately preceding the word “diamond” and equally conspicuously, the nature of the product and the fact it is not a mined diamond.”

Smit Patel, convener of the GJEPC’s lab-grown diamond panel, said: “We have urged the government to align with the advancements and economic significance of lab-grown diamonds by adopting a forward-looking policy framework.”

The Indian government says its Central Consumer Protection Authority (CCPA) has organized a stakeholder consultation on consumer protection for the diamond sector, following representations from the GJEPC.

Source: Idex

Indian Digger’s Diamond Fetches $111,000

A 19.22 carat diamond, recovered from a shallow mine by a part-time digger in India’s Panna district, sold at auction for $111,000 (Rs 93,79,360).

It was one of 29 diamonds sold by the Panna Diamond Office, as part of a deal in which farmers and laborers rent small patches of land from the government. The other 28 stones raised just over $28,000 between them.

Many of the stones recovered have failed to find buyers at the three-monthly auctions over the last two years, but demand picked up at this latest event, with large crowds of bidders in attendance.

Panna is said to be home to 1.2m carats. Part-time miners pay $2.70 for the rights to dig a 25ft square patch there and diamond finds are quite common.

In February 2022 a part-time prospector dug up a 26.11-carat diamond which later sold for at auction for $193,000.

Source: Idex